Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 154.263163 178.568711 206.645233 241.754754 284.875755 336.621325 4.041994e+02
2025-06-29 119.621505 149.273352 187.099416 239.902766 313.382345 414.666180 5.697886e+02
2025-07-06 100.879742 132.233118 174.970568 239.372878 337.505402 487.876885 7.500001e+02
2025-07-13 92.772051 126.833363 176.014287 255.385056 386.954708 610.330089 1.054826e+03
2025-07-20 87.212240 123.647052 178.976152 273.952159 444.219010 763.469891 1.490946e+03
2025-07-27 79.633001 116.080557 173.628245 277.351933 475.537562 879.614746 1.918341e+03
2025-08-03 74.190777 110.950858 171.135546 284.755178 515.744214 1028.149070 2.524678e+03
2025-08-10 68.500234 104.619892 165.562674 285.204196 541.834254 1155.606066 3.176233e+03
2025-08-17 64.200563 100.042108 162.291314 289.260721 576.584195 1319.074177 4.101667e+03
2025-08-24 59.720525 94.628983 156.745992 287.633157 597.898246 1457.052172 5.093681e+03
2025-08-31 55.995206 90.133417 152.292566 287.423561 622.630608 1617.638237 6.407768e+03
2025-09-07 53.425350 87.430440 150.870947 293.481652 665.228012 1858.345022 8.552433e+03
2025-09-14 48.121483 79.590282 139.226939 276.246256 645.357797 1894.691615 9.717758e+03
2025-09-21 44.886836 75.356371 134.394354 274.340094 669.782734 2118.643074 1.290686e+04
2025-09-28 42.154385 71.783183 130.426869 273.719527 698.229563 2384.779463 1.757299e+04
2025-10-05 41.362966 71.854219 134.045629 292.760272 796.733030 3062.481239 3.118409e+04
2025-10-12 40.779166 72.255910 138.417336 314.913426 917.606524 4022.976186 6.193157e+04
2025-10-19 38.933635 69.903611 136.330097 318.978227 975.231285 4711.983169 1.030302e+05
2025-10-26 37.554696 68.377966 135.929914 327.838395 1057.124790 5715.172690 1.996433e+05
2025-11-02 35.790624 65.876002 132.926563 328.376161 1105.358498 6569.274754 3.645178e+05
2025-11-09 34.415563 64.084183 131.410704 333.236427 1176.661149 7804.339174 8.247830e+05
2025-11-16 32.793441 61.617984 127.960052 331.285960 1215.835999 8843.980473 1.826083e+06
2025-11-23 31.386249 59.512867 125.180186 331.034822 1264.701651 10163.857370 5.308276e+06